I really like this. I would say I’m much higher on the 76ers, Grizz, and Knicks, all of which I would put on higher tiers. I’m much lower on the Kings, Lakers, and Warriors. In terms of tiering, I’d probably swap the 76ers + Knicks with the Kings + Lakers. I’d also swap the Warriors + Grizz.
Personally, I think a healthy 76ers could be in tier 1, but I believe, because VORP is a cumulative stat, it does tend to do a good job at highlighting who has been/hasn’t been injured lately.
For sure. Also, in the above example, I look at Milwaukee and Philly and don’t think they should be on separate tiers. However, Giannis (7.2) is going to have a much higher VORP than Embiid (4.5) because Embiid was injured in the regular season and Giannis was injured in the post-season. However, if you look at their playoff VORP from last year, Embiid’s was actually higher because of when the injuries occurred.
Giannis, Middleton, and Dame are a healthier trio than Embiid, George, and Maxey, but, lately, how much more?
What I think would be interesting is to calculate what would have been a player’s VORP over the course of the past 3 years, (based on their BPM), had they played what should be average minutes for them and compare it to what their actual VORP was. I feel like that could give you insight into who is actualizing their value and how predictive their VORP is based on how available they are.