Best chance to make the NBA Finals
according to ESPN BPI
| Team | Win Title | Make Finals |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Boston Celtics | 25.9% | 38.6% |
| 2. Oklahoma City Thunder | 12.5% | 24.0% |
| 3. Philadelphia 76ers | 12.5% | 22.0% |
| 4. Dallas Mavericks | 10.3% | 20.5% |
| 5. Cleveland Cavaliers | 5.7% | 11.7% |
| 6. Minnesota Timberwolves | 4.8% | 11.1% |
| 7. Denver Nuggets | 4.6% | 11.0% |
| 8. Milwaukee Bucks | 4.2% | 9.3% |
| 9. Miami Heat | 3.8% | 8.1% |
| 10. Memphis Grizzlies | 2.6% | 6.9% |
| 11. Phoenix Suns | 1.6% | 4.6% |
| 12. Sacramento Kings | 1.6% | 4.1% |
| 13. Los Angeles Lakers | 1.5% | 4.0% |
| 14. New Orleans Pelican | 1.4% | 3.8% |
| 15. LA Clippers | 1.3% | 3.7% |
| 16. Houston Rockets | 1.2% | 3.3% |
Thunder at 2 is some of the most valuable and accurate analysis I’ve ever read. I’m choosing to not reason beyond that at all because OF COURSE the rest of the list is just as sensible
Any model that doesn’t spit out Boston and OKC top two in that order I’m immediately suspicious of. But this model does seem to get worse the further down you go