I am biased but I think your model heavily underrates the Grizzlies. You could point to Ja’s injury/suspension history (I guess?, even though he’s had no major injuries) but then you have the Pelicans at 11 with Zion’s history? Make it make sense
Yes, Ja’s shoulder injury hurts him a lot here. I did manually adjust for his suspension (and Miles Bridges’ 10-game suspension) which puts him at about the same level as Zion. The biggest difference is that VORP likes the fourth and fifth guys on the Pelicans compared to the Grizzlies. I think some of it may be differences in VORP, and some of it also may be that when Ja comes back, he’ll likely make his teammates better too which the model doesn’t currently account for.
This is actually more coming from the next 3 guys rather than the stars. After a manual adjustment for Ja’s suspension (assuming it’s a one-off thing) the model has him pretty similar to Zion. The difference is that in total it likes Dejounte Murray / McCollum / Trey Murphy / Brandon Ingram better than Desmond Bane / Jaren Jackson / Santi Almada / John Konchar.
It’s not perfect, but likely the difference is coming from those last couple starters and first guys off the bench. I think Luke Kennard may be more valuable than his VORP shows.
The only other player I manually adjusted for suspension was Miles Bridges and he only missed 10 games so was a much smaller one. Let me know if there’s anyone else I should also consider adjusting due to suspension?
I am biased but I think your model heavily underrates the Grizzlies. You could point to Ja’s injury/suspension history (I guess?, even though he’s had no major injuries) but then you have the Pelicans at 11 with Zion’s history? Make it make sense
Yes, Ja’s shoulder injury hurts him a lot here. I did manually adjust for his suspension (and Miles Bridges’ 10-game suspension) which puts him at about the same level as Zion. The biggest difference is that VORP likes the fourth and fifth guys on the Pelicans compared to the Grizzlies. I think some of it may be differences in VORP, and some of it also may be that when Ja comes back, he’ll likely make his teammates better too which the model doesn’t currently account for.
This is actually more coming from the next 3 guys rather than the stars. After a manual adjustment for Ja’s suspension (assuming it’s a one-off thing) the model has him pretty similar to Zion. The difference is that in total it likes Dejounte Murray / McCollum / Trey Murphy / Brandon Ingram better than Desmond Bane / Jaren Jackson / Santi Almada / John Konchar.
It’s not perfect, but likely the difference is coming from those last couple starters and first guys off the bench. I think Luke Kennard may be more valuable than his VORP shows.
The only other player I manually adjusted for suspension was Miles Bridges and he only missed 10 games so was a much smaller one. Let me know if there’s anyone else I should also consider adjusting due to suspension?