I am doing this again because everyone loved it last time! Just kidding, everyone fucking hated it, but I did a pretty good job last time and I think I can do a good job again. I was told to do another one so here it is.

I’m also doing this because people are again underrating us next season. Shit I have seen some predictions where we get like 35 wins and get like 13th in the West, which is mental. How could we possibly get worse it doesnt make any sense. Anyways if you don’t like my math, fuck you, I’m an actuary and know what I’m doing. (I don’t have a fucking clue where I pulled these numbers from).

FVV vs FVV:

This is a little bit different from last year so this is kind of irrelevant. If I had to guess, Fred might regress slighlty but will have less of the offensive load on his shoulders so he can play slightly better, +10%

4th yr JG vs 3rd yr JG:

Your guess is as good as mine. I still have faith in him and if he can play like March JG consistently then hand him the keys to the franchise, but as of rn hes kind of an outlier. I do think he will still improve tho and buy into Imes system more and get a little bit more consistent, possibly gone in a trade sometime soon, but I will say +15%

Amen vs Brooks:

While I do think Brooks will start for the first 20 games or so, I think Amen will quickly overtake his role to defend their best player and such. I have to admit I amn’t a massive Brooks fan but he does ok, but I think Amen will do literally everything better but shooting and pissing people off. I hope Amen morphs into more of a PG role after this year, but I think Amen will actually be a huge upgrade over last years DB, who devolved into a shot chucker at the end of the season, +20%

3rd yr Bari vs 2nd yr Bari:

This guy is flying under the radar fr. Sure he’s not Paolo but he does a fantastic job at his role. I expect a solid 15 and 9 on 38.5% from 3 with elite defense. Might not get MIP shouts but will improve massively, +30%

4th yr ALP vs 3rd yr ALP:

As we all know, he was great last year, I do expect him to get better but not as much as last year, maybe 22/10/6, +20%

Reed vs 1st yr Amen:

I have to admit, I was a Risacher over Reed guy had he been available. My bad. This guy looks incredible, a lot more nba ready than expected and more nba ready to command the point than Amen was at the start, definitely an improvement in terms of pg play, +10%

2nd yr Cam vs 1st yr Cam:

Cam is crazy good. This man is a bucket, I hope he gets more of a chance this year as he spent a good chunk of last year in the G or getting DNPs. People are only now realizing how good this guy is, +25%

Brooks vs Tate:

Night and day, I like Tate but this is no contest, Brooks is a starting caliber player who I think will spend a lot of time otb. All defense caliber player btw, +42%

3rd yr Tari vs 2nd yr Tari:

This is more like healthy Tari vs injured Tari. I see people throw him into random trades like he is a role player, this guy is a beast and I don’t see why he wouldn’t be healthy as he played 82 games his rookie year, +30%

Adams vs Landale:

If this is healthy unobstructed Adams, easy +200% but I would say Adams might be worse this year due to injury, so this might be Landale again which would still be an upgrade because he was ass to start the year but grew into a competent player to end the season, +25%

This year 11-15 spots vs Last year 11-15 spots:

The difference is crazy this year vs last year, the roster is so deep with a lineup of Aaron Holiday, AJ Griffin, Tate, Unc Jeff, Hock Landale. Very deep roster this year which will help a lot with injury problems, +20%

2nd yr under Ime vs 1st yr under Ime:

Less of a coaching improvement from last year but still an improvement as people buy in and improve under the system, +15%

If you have been counting, on average thats an improvement of 21.833%, which combined with our 41 wins last year gives us a win total of next year of ~50 wins next year, which in this tough of a conference puts us at a seeding of about 9-6 seed.

LMK what you think of my prediction, hope you are all as nice as last year!

TL;DR:

Rockets improve by 21.833% next year and finish with a record of 50-32.